Figures explained

Grey: Projected CO2 emissions for year end 2011
Red: Projected bunker fuel spend during 2011
Green: Projected CO2 emissions and bunker fuel spend for year end 2011, with 30% efficiency savings applied.

Figures based upon IMO projections of GHG growth A1B Scenario, (Source: Fig 1. ICCT White Paper 11 – July 2011). These estimates assume business as usual with an increase of 3% in economic growth rate corresponding to growth in the transport demand, composition and activity of the world's shipping fleet.

It is estimated that GHG emissions from international shipping contribute 870 mmt of CO2 to the atmosphere, with an additional 180 mmt attributable to domestic and inland ships in 2007, for a total of 1050 mmt. Under the IMO's scenario analysis, shipping-sector CO2 is expected to climb to between 2,500 mmt and 3,650 mmt by 2050. These are long-run projections and there may be deviations from the trajectories due to market volatility in the short-term.

The maritime industry can reduce its GHG emissions by between 150 million metric tons of CO2 (lower bound) and 520 million metric tons of CO2 (upper bound) with an expected 320 million metric tons of CO2 per year with negative marginal abatement costs (i.e., while improving overall industry costs).

This is on the order of 13 to 46 percent of the 2020 BAU case.

CO2 Emissions Wasted fuel burnt 2011 CO2 at 30% efficiency
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Why Invest in Efficiency

“Improving fuel efficiency across the global fleet could save the industry up to $50 billion a year in fuel costs. Arguably the shipping industry is facing its worst ever crisis as it struggles to stay afloat amidst a global trade slowdown, suppressed demand and uncertainty compounded by fuel prices at record levels,” Peter Boyd, Chief Operating Officer, Carbon War Room.

Watch the Shipping Efficiency Video.

One of the biggest opportunities for growth and job creation lies in the development, manufacture and retrofitting of clean eco-efficient technologies to the global shipping fleet – this is particularly the case in Europe, which has traditionally been the global leader in maritime technology.

Measuring and disseminating the fuel efficiency of vessels will incentivise the retrofitting of efficiency technologies to ships – increasing investment and job growth while reducing marine GHG emissions by up to 220 million tonnes per year.

How a vessel rates on energy efficiency against relevant comparable fleets will reward the best ships and create a ‘green race’ in the implementation of tried and tested clean technologies – often with payback periods of as little as 6 months – to increase fuel efficiency.

Visit our Clean Tech Guide here.

The Institute of Marine Engineering, Science and Technology (IMarEST) submitted these figures to the 61st Session of the Marine Environment protection Committee in September 2012:

“Using a projected fuel cost of $700 per metric tonne (pmt) for the year 2020, the MACCs showed that the maritime industry can reduce its CO2 emissions by between 150 million to 520 million mt of CO2 per year, with an expected 320 million mt of CO2 per year with ‘negative marginal abatement costs’, or in other words, profitably. A 320 million mt CO2 saving would mean just over 100 million mt less bunker fuel used by ships, which at the study's assumed price of $700 pmt would reduce the global fleet's fuel bill by over $70 billion.”

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